Is COVID-19 getting better yet?

Data sourced from the European Centre for Disease Control. Last updated Tuesday 24 November.

Current status by country

Country ⇵ Cases ⇵ Deaths ⇵ Is it getting better? ⇵
Afghanistan up up uh oh
Albania up up no
Algeria up up no
Andorra down down yes
Angola up down yes
Anguilla up down tbc
Antigua and Barbuda down down tbc
Argentina down down yes
Armenia down down yes
Aruba up down maybe
Australia up down yes
Austria down up maybe
Azerbaijan up up no
Bahamas down down yes
Bahrain down down yes
Bangladesh up up maybe
Barbados up down tbc
Belarus up up maybe
Belgium down down yes
Belize down up no
Benin down up tbc
Bermuda down down tbc
Bhutan down down tbc
Bolivia down down yes
Bonaire, Saint Eustatius and Saba down down tbc
Bosnia and Herzegovina down down yes
Botswana down down yes
Brazil up down yes
British Virgin Islands up down tbc
Brunei Darussalam down down tbc
Bulgaria down up maybe
Burkina Faso up down maybe
Burundi up down tbc
Cambodia down down tbc
Cameroon up up no
Canada up up maybe
Cape Verde up down maybe
Cayman Islands up down tbc
Central African Republic down down tbc
Chad down down tbc
Chile up down uh oh
China up up tbc
Colombia down up maybe
Comoros down down tbc
Congo up down yes
Costa Rica up down yes
Cote dIvoire down up no
Croatia up up uh oh
Cuba down up no
Curaçao up up maybe
Cyprus up down maybe
Czechia down down yes
Democratic Republic of the Congo up up maybe
Denmark up up no
Djibouti down down tbc
Dominica down down tbc
Dominican Republic up up maybe
Ecuador down up no
Egypt up up maybe
El Salvador down up no
Equatorial Guinea up down tbc
Eritrea up down yes
Estonia up up no
Eswatini up down maybe
Ethiopia up up maybe
Falkland Islands (Malvinas) down down tbc
Faroe Islands up down tbc
Fiji up down tbc
Finland up up uh oh
France down down yes
French Polynesia down down yes
Gabon up down yes
Gambia up up tbc
Georgia up up uh oh
Germany down up maybe
Ghana down down yes
Gibraltar down up no
Greece down up no
Greenland down down tbc
Grenada down down tbc
Guam down up maybe
Guatemala down up maybe
Guernsey up down tbc
Guinea up down yes
Guinea Bissau down down tbc
Guyana down down yes
Haiti down up tbc
Holy See down down tbc
Honduras down down yes
Hungary down up no
Iceland down down uh oh
India up up uh oh
Indonesia up up uh oh
Iran up up uh oh
Iraq down down yes
Ireland down down yes
Isle of Man up down tbc
Israel up up no
Italy down up maybe
Jamaica up down yes
Japan up up maybe
Jersey down down yes
Jordan up down yes
Kazakhstan down down yes
Kenya down down yes
Kosovo up up maybe
Kuwait down down yes
Kyrgyzstan down up maybe
Laos up down tbc
Latvia up up maybe
Lebanon down down yes
Lesotho up down tbc
Liberia down up tbc
Libya down down yes
Liechtenstein up down maybe
Lithuania up up maybe
Luxembourg up down maybe
Madagascar up up uh oh
Malawi down down tbc
Malaysia up up maybe
Maldives up down yes
Mali up up no
Malta down down yes
Marshall Islands down down tbc
Mauritania up up maybe
Mauritius down down tbc
Mexico up down uh oh
Moldova up up no
Monaco down down tbc
Mongolia up down maybe
Montenegro down down yes
Montserrat up down tbc
Morocco down up maybe
Mozambique down down yes
Myanmar up up maybe
Namibia up up maybe
Nepal down down uh oh
Netherlands up down maybe
New Caledonia up down tbc
New Zealand up down tbc
Nicaragua up down maybe
Niger up down maybe
Nigeria up up no
North Macedonia up up maybe
Northern Mariana Islands down down tbc
Norway down up maybe
Oman down up maybe
Pakistan up up maybe
Palestine up up uh oh
Panama up up no
Papua New Guinea down down tbc
Paraguay up down yes
Peru down up maybe
Philippines up up uh oh
Poland down up maybe
Portugal down down yes
Puerto Rico up up maybe
Qatar down down yes
Romania down up maybe
Russia up up maybe
Rwanda up down maybe
Saint Kitts and Nevis up down tbc
Saint Lucia down down tbc
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines down down tbc
San Marino down up maybe
Sao Tome and Principe down up tbc
Saudi Arabia down up no
Senegal up down maybe
Serbia up up no
Seychelles down down tbc
Sierra Leone up up tbc
Singapore down up tbc
Sint Maarten up up no
Slovakia down up no
Slovenia down up maybe
Solomon Islands down down tbc
Somalia up up no
South Africa up up maybe
South Korea up up no
South Sudan down up tbc
Spain down down yes
Sri Lanka down up no
Sudan up down maybe
Suriname down down tbc
Sweden down down yes
Switzerland down up maybe
Syria up up maybe
Taiwan down down tbc
Tajikistan up down maybe
Thailand up down tbc
Timor Leste up down tbc
Togo down down yes
Trinidad and Tobago up up maybe
Tunisia down down yes
Turkey up up uh oh
Turks and Caicos islands up down tbc
Uganda up up no
Ukraine up up maybe
United Arab Emirates up up maybe
United Kingdom down down yes
United Republic of Tanzania up up tbc
United States of America up up maybe
United States Virgin Islands up down yes
Uruguay up down yes
Uzbekistan down down yes
Vanuatu down down tbc
Venezuela down down yes
Vietnam down down tbc
Wallis and Futuna down down tbc
Western Sahara down down tbc
Yemen up up tbc
Zambia up down yes
Zimbabwe up up uh oh


  1. yes The rate of deaths/day is falling and cases are decelerating.
  2. maybe There are signs of a fall in deaths/day.
  3. no The rate of deaths/day is rising.
  4. uh oh There is an acceleration in daily deaths and cases.
  5. tbc Not enough data (<50 cases total).

Global Status maybe

The number of daily cases is decreasing, and there are signs of a deceleration in daily deaths.

Figure WORLD-1. The daily change in the rate of new cases of Coronavirus. Negative values indicate the number of cases per day is decreasing. When the line crosses zero, the number of cases has plateaued. The number of daily cases is falling.

Figure WORLD-2. The daily change in the rate of deaths from Coronavirus. Negative values indicate the number of deaths per day is decreasing. When the line crosses zero, the number of deaths has plateaued. There are signs of an deceleration in daily deaths.

Data is sourced from the European Centre for Disease Control daily report data on the geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases worldwide . Updated daily at 12:00 UTC.

Daily cases and deaths for each country are smoothed using a 7-day window function. Change in the daily rate is calculated using a 7-day rolling difference. Values above zero indicate the daily number of cases or deaths is increasing, while those below zero indicate that the number of cases or deaths is decreasing. Status for each country determined from a combination of case and death data. See the source code for details.

Data analysis & design ©2020 Martin Fitzpatrick PhD