Is COVID-19 getting better yet?

Data is sourced from Our World in Data. Last updated Tuesday 27 July.

Current status by country

Country ⇵ Cases ⇵ Deaths ⇵ Is it getting better? ⇵
Afghanistan up up maybe
Albania up down yes
Algeria up up maybe
Andorra up down yes
Angola up up maybe
Anguilla down down tbc
Antigua and Barbuda up up no
Argentina up up maybe
Armenia up up maybe
Aruba down down tbc
Australia up up no
Austria up up no
Azerbaijan up up uh oh
Bahamas up up maybe
Bahrain up up no
Bangladesh up up maybe
Barbados up down yes
Belarus up up maybe
Belgium up up no
Belize up up no
Benin up up maybe
Bermuda down down tbc
Bhutan up up maybe
Bolivia up up maybe
Bonaire Sint Eustatius and Saba down down tbc
Bosnia and Herzegovina up up uh oh
Botswana up up no
Brazil up up maybe
British Virgin Islands down down tbc
Brunei up down maybe
Bulgaria up up maybe
Burkina Faso up up maybe
Burundi up down maybe
Cambodia up up maybe
Cameroon up up maybe
Canada up up maybe
Cape Verde up up maybe
Cayman Islands down down tbc
Central African Republic up down yes
Chad up down yes
Chile up up maybe
China up up maybe
Colombia up up maybe
Comoros up up maybe
Congo up up maybe
Cook Islands down down tbc
Costa Rica up up maybe
Cote d'Ivoire up up maybe
Croatia up up maybe
Cuba up up maybe
Curacao down down tbc
Cyprus up up maybe
Czechia up up no
Democratic Republic of Congo up up maybe
Denmark up up maybe
Djibouti up down maybe
Dominica up down yes
Dominican Republic up up maybe
Ecuador up up maybe
Egypt up up maybe
El Salvador up up maybe
Equatorial Guinea up up maybe
Eritrea up up maybe
Estonia up up maybe
Eswatini up up maybe
Ethiopia up up maybe
Faeroe Islands down down tbc
Falkland Islands down down tbc
Fiji up up maybe
Finland up up no
France up up maybe
French Polynesia down down tbc
Gabon up up maybe
Gambia up up no
Georgia up up maybe
Germany up up maybe
Ghana up up maybe
Gibraltar down down tbc
Greece up up maybe
Greenland down down tbc
Grenada up down yes
Guatemala up up maybe
Guernsey down down tbc
Guinea up up maybe
Guinea-Bissau up up maybe
Guyana up up no
Haiti up up maybe
Honduras up up maybe
Hong Kong up down yes
Hungary up up maybe
Iceland up down maybe
India up up maybe
Indonesia up up maybe
Iran up up maybe
Iraq up up maybe
Ireland up up maybe
Isle of Man down down tbc
Israel up up maybe
Italy up up maybe
Jamaica up up maybe
Japan up up maybe
Jersey down down tbc
Jordan up up maybe
Kazakhstan up up no
Kenya up up maybe
Kiribati down down tbc
Kuwait up up maybe
Kyrgyzstan up up maybe
Laos up up maybe
Latvia up up maybe
Lebanon up up maybe
Lesotho up up no
Liberia up up maybe
Libya up up no
Liechtenstein up down yes
Lithuania up up uh oh
Luxembourg up up maybe
Macao down down tbc
Madagascar up up maybe
Malawi up up no
Malaysia up up maybe
Maldives up up maybe
Mali up up maybe
Malta up up no
Marshall Islands down down tbc
Mauritania up up no
Mauritius up up maybe
Mexico up up maybe
Micronesia (country) down down tbc
Moldova up up maybe
Monaco up down yes
Mongolia up up maybe
Montenegro up up maybe
Montserrat down down tbc
Morocco up up uh oh
Mozambique up up maybe
Myanmar up up no
Namibia up up maybe
Nauru down down tbc
Nepal up up maybe
Netherlands up up no
New Caledonia down down tbc
New Zealand up down yes
Nicaragua up up maybe
Niger up up no
Nigeria up up uh oh
Niue down down tbc
North Macedonia up up uh oh
Norway up up maybe
Oman up up uh oh
Pakistan up up maybe
Palestine up up no
Panama up up maybe
Papua New Guinea up up maybe
Paraguay up up maybe
Peru up up maybe
Philippines up up maybe
Pitcairn down down tbc
Poland up up maybe
Portugal up up no
Qatar up up maybe
Romania up up maybe
Russia up up maybe
Rwanda up up maybe
Saint Helena down down tbc
Saint Kitts and Nevis up down yes
Saint Lucia up up no
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines up down yes
Samoa down down tbc
San Marino up down maybe
Sao Tome and Principe up down yes
Saudi Arabia up up maybe
Senegal up up no
Serbia up up maybe
Seychelles up up maybe
Sierra Leone up up maybe
Singapore up up no
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) down down tbc
Slovakia up up maybe
Slovenia up up no
Solomon Islands down down yes
Somalia up up uh oh
South Africa up up maybe
South Korea up up no
South Sudan up up uh oh
Spain up up maybe
Sri Lanka up up maybe
Sudan up up maybe
Suriname up up maybe
Sweden up up maybe
Switzerland up down yes
Syria up up maybe
Taiwan up up maybe
Tajikistan up up maybe
Tanzania down down yes
Thailand up up maybe
Timor up up maybe
Togo up up no
Tonga down down tbc
Trinidad and Tobago up up maybe
Tunisia up up maybe
Turkey up up maybe
Turkmenistan down down tbc
Turks and Caicos Islands down down tbc
Tuvalu down down tbc
Uganda up up maybe
Ukraine up up maybe
United Arab Emirates up up maybe
United Kingdom up up maybe
United States up up maybe
Uruguay up up maybe
Uzbekistan up up no
Vanuatu down down tbc
Vatican down down yes
Venezuela up up maybe
Vietnam up up maybe
Wallis and Futuna down down tbc
Yemen up up maybe
Zambia up up maybe
Zimbabwe up up maybe

Key

  1. yes The rate of deaths/day is falling and cases are decelerating.
  2. maybe There are signs of a fall in deaths/day.
  3. no The rate of deaths/day is rising.
  4. uh oh There is an acceleration in daily deaths and cases.
  5. tbc Not enough data (<50 cases total).

Global Status maybe

There are signs of a deceleration in daily cases and daily deaths.

Figure WORLD-1. The daily change in the rate of new cases of Coronavirus. Negative values indicate the number of cases per day is decreasing. When the line crosses zero, the number of cases has plateaued. There are signs of an deceleration in daily cases.

Figure WORLD-2. The daily change in the rate of deaths from Coronavirus. Negative values indicate the number of deaths per day is decreasing. When the line crosses zero, the number of deaths has plateaued. There are signs of an deceleration in daily deaths.

Data is sourced from Our World in Data daily report data on the geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases worldwide . Updated daily at 12:00 UTC.

Daily cases and deaths for each country are smoothed using a 7-day window function. Change in the daily rate is calculated using a 7-day rolling difference. Values above zero indicate the daily number of cases or deaths is increasing, while those below zero indicate that the number of cases or deaths is decreasing. Status for each country determined from a combination of case and death data. See the source code for details.

Data analysis & design ©2020 Martin Fitzpatrick PhD