Is COVID-19 getting better yet?

Data sourced from the European Centre for Disease Control. Last updated Monday 19 October.

Current status by country

Country ⇵ Cases ⇵ Deaths ⇵ Is it getting better? ⇵
Afghanistan down up no
Albania up up maybe
Algeria up up maybe
Andorra down down yes
Angola up up uh oh
Anguilla down down tbc
Antigua and Barbuda up down tbc
Argentina up down maybe
Armenia up up uh oh
Aruba up up no
Australia down up maybe
Austria up down maybe
Azerbaijan up up uh oh
Bahamas down up no
Bahrain down up maybe
Bangladesh up down yes
Barbados down down tbc
Belarus up down yes
Belgium down down yes
Belize up up maybe
Benin up up no
Bermuda down down tbc
Bhutan up down tbc
Bolivia down down yes
Bonaire, Saint Eustatius and Saba down down tbc
Bosnia and Herzegovina up down yes
Botswana down down yes
Brazil down down uh oh
British Virgin Islands up down tbc
Brunei Darussalam down down tbc
Bulgaria up up no
Burkina Faso down down maybe
Burundi down down tbc
Cambodia down down tbc
Cameroon down down yes
Canada up up no
Cape Verde up up no
Cayman Islands down down tbc
Central African Republic down up tbc
Chad up down yes
Chile down down yes
China down up no
Colombia down up no
Comoros up down tbc
Congo down down tbc
Costa Rica down down yes
Cote dIvoire down up maybe
Croatia up up uh oh
Cuba up up uh oh
Curaçao up down yes
Cyprus up down maybe
Czechia up up maybe
Democratic Republic of the Congo up up uh oh
Denmark up down maybe
Djibouti up down tbc
Dominica down down tbc
Dominican Republic down down yes
Ecuador up down maybe
Egypt up up no
El Salvador up up maybe
Equatorial Guinea down down tbc
Eritrea down down tbc
Estonia down down yes
Eswatini up up uh oh
Ethiopia down up maybe
Falkland Islands (Malvinas) down down tbc
Faroe Islands up down tbc
Fiji up down tbc
Finland up up maybe
France up up uh oh
French Polynesia up up maybe
Gabon down down tbc
Gambia down down tbc
Georgia up up maybe
Germany up up maybe
Ghana up down maybe
Gibraltar up down yes
Greece up up maybe
Greenland down down tbc
Grenada up down tbc
Guam up down no
Guatemala up up uh oh
Guernsey down down tbc
Guinea up down maybe
Guinea Bissau down up tbc
Guyana down down yes
Haiti down down tbc
Holy See down down tbc
Honduras up down maybe
Hungary up up uh oh
Iceland down up no
India down down yes
Indonesia down down yes
Iran up up maybe
Iraq up down maybe
Ireland up up no
Isle of Man down down tbc
Israel down down yes
Italy up up uh oh
Jamaica down up maybe
Japan up up uh oh
Jersey down down tbc
Jordan up up maybe
Kazakhstan down down yes
Kenya up up maybe
Kosovo up up uh oh
Kuwait up up maybe
Kyrgyzstan up up maybe
Laos up down tbc
Latvia up up uh oh
Lebanon up up maybe
Lesotho down down tbc
Liberia down up tbc
Libya down up no
Liechtenstein up down maybe
Lithuania up up uh oh
Luxembourg up down yes
Madagascar down down yes
Malawi up down tbc
Malaysia up up uh oh
Maldives down up no
Mali down down yes
Malta down down yes
Mauritania up down yes
Mauritius down down tbc
Mexico down down yes
Moldova down up no
Monaco down down tbc
Mongolia down down tbc
Montenegro up up maybe
Montserrat up down tbc
Morocco up up no
Mozambique up down yes
Myanmar down up no
Namibia up down maybe
Nepal up up maybe
Netherlands up up maybe
New Caledonia down down tbc
New Zealand up down tbc
Nicaragua down down yes
Niger down down tbc
Nigeria up up no
North Macedonia up up uh oh
Northern Mariana Islands up down tbc
Norway down up maybe
Oman down down yes
Pakistan down up maybe
Palestine down down yes
Panama down up no
Papua New Guinea down down tbc
Paraguay down down yes
Peru down down yes
Philippines down down yes
Poland up up uh oh
Portugal up up uh oh
Puerto Rico up down yes
Qatar down up no
Romania up up uh oh
Russia up up no
Rwanda up up maybe
Saint Kitts and Nevis up down tbc
Saint Lucia down down tbc
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines up down tbc
San Marino up up tbc
Sao Tome and Principe down down tbc
Saudi Arabia up down yes
Senegal down up maybe
Serbia up up uh oh
Seychelles up down tbc
Sierra Leone down up tbc
Singapore down up tbc
Sint Maarten down down tbc
Slovakia up up uh oh
Slovenia up up uh oh
Solomon Islands up down tbc
Somalia down down tbc
South Africa up down maybe
South Korea up down yes
South Sudan up down yes
Spain down down yes
Sri Lanka down down yes
Sudan down down tbc
Suriname down up maybe
Sweden down down yes
Switzerland up up maybe
Syria up up maybe
Taiwan up down tbc
Tajikistan down down yes
Thailand up down tbc
Timor Leste down down tbc
Togo up up maybe
Trinidad and Tobago down down yes
Tunisia up up uh oh
Turkey up up uh oh
Turks and Caicos islands up down tbc
Uganda down down yes
Ukraine up up maybe
United Arab Emirates up up uh oh
United Kingdom up up maybe
United Republic of Tanzania up up tbc
United States of America up up uh oh
United States Virgin Islands up up tbc
Uruguay up down maybe
Uzbekistan down down yes
Venezuela down down yes
Vietnam down down tbc
Western Sahara down down tbc
Yemen down down tbc
Zambia down down yes
Zimbabwe up down maybe


  1. yes The rate of deaths/day is falling and cases are decelerating.
  2. maybe There are signs of a fall in deaths/day.
  3. no The rate of deaths/day is rising.
  4. uh oh There is an acceleration in daily deaths and cases.
  5. tbc Not enough data (<50 cases total).

Global Status maybe

The number of daily cases is increasing although the number of daily deaths is decreasing.

Figure WORLD-1. The daily change in the rate of new cases of Coronavirus. Negative values indicate the number of cases per day is decreasing. When the line crosses zero, the number of cases has plateaued. The number of daily cases is increasing day by day.

Figure WORLD-2. The daily change in the rate of deaths from Coronavirus. Negative values indicate the number of deaths per day is decreasing. When the line crosses zero, the number of deaths has plateaued. The number of daily deaths is falling.

Data is sourced from the European Centre for Disease Control daily report data on the geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases worldwide . Updated daily at 12:00 UTC.

Daily cases and deaths for each country are smoothed using a 7-day window function. Change in the daily rate is calculated using a 7-day rolling difference. Values above zero indicate the daily number of cases or deaths is increasing, while those below zero indicate that the number of cases or deaths is decreasing. Status for each country determined from a combination of case and death data. See the source code for details.

Data analysis & design ©2020 Martin Fitzpatrick PhD