Is COVID-19 getting better yet?

Data sourced from the European Centre for Disease Control. Last updated Monday 14 December.

Current status by country

Country ⇵ Cases ⇵ Deaths ⇵ Is it getting better? ⇵
Afghanistan up down maybe
Albania up down yes
Algeria down down yes
Andorra down down yes
Angola up up uh oh
Anguilla down down tbc
Antigua and Barbuda down down tbc
Argentina down down yes
Armenia down down yes
Aruba down up no
Australia down down yes
Austria down down yes
Azerbaijan up up maybe
Bahamas up down maybe
Bahrain up up maybe
Bangladesh down down yes
Barbados down down tbc
Belarus up up maybe
Belgium down down yes
Belize down down yes
Benin down down tbc
Bermuda up down maybe
Bhutan down down tbc
Bolivia up down maybe
Bonaire, Saint Eustatius and Saba down down tbc
Bosnia and Herzegovina down up maybe
Botswana down down yes
Brazil up up maybe
British Virgin Islands up down tbc
Brunei Darussalam down down tbc
Bulgaria down down yes
Burkina Faso up up uh oh
Burundi down down tbc
Cambodia down down tbc
Cameroon down down yes
Canada up up maybe
Cape Verde down down yes
Cayman Islands up down tbc
Central African Republic down up tbc
Chad up down tbc
Chile up up no
China down down tbc
Colombia down up no
Comoros up down tbc
Congo up up maybe
Costa Rica down down yes
Cote dIvoire up up maybe
Croatia up up uh oh
Cuba up down no
Curaçao down up no
Cyprus up up maybe
Czechia up down yes
Democratic Republic of the Congo up up maybe
Denmark up up maybe
Djibouti down down tbc
Dominica up down tbc
Dominican Republic up up maybe
Ecuador down down yes
Egypt up up maybe
El Salvador up down maybe
Equatorial Guinea down down tbc
Eritrea up down maybe
Estonia up up maybe
Eswatini up up maybe
Ethiopia down up maybe
Falkland Islands (Malvinas) up down tbc
Faroe Islands down down tbc
Fiji up down tbc
Finland up up maybe
France up down maybe
French Polynesia down up maybe
Gabon up up maybe
Gambia down down tbc
Georgia down up no
Germany up up maybe
Ghana down down yes
Gibraltar down down tbc
Greece down down yes
Greenland down down tbc
Grenada up down tbc
Guam down up no
Guatemala up up uh oh
Guernsey down down tbc
Guinea up up maybe
Guinea Bissau down down tbc
Guyana down down yes
Haiti up up uh oh
Holy See down down tbc
Honduras up down yes
Hungary down down yes
Iceland down down yes
India down down yes
Indonesia up up no
Iran down down yes
Iraq down down yes
Ireland up down maybe
Isle of Man down down tbc
Israel up up no
Italy down down yes
Jamaica up up no
Japan up up maybe
Jersey up down maybe
Jordan down down yes
Kazakhstan down down maybe
Kenya down down yes
Kosovo down down maybe
Kuwait down up maybe
Kyrgyzstan down down yes
Laos down down tbc
Latvia up up uh oh
Lebanon up up maybe
Lesotho up down maybe
Liberia down down tbc
Libya down down yes
Liechtenstein down up maybe
Lithuania up up maybe
Luxembourg up up no
Madagascar down down yes
Malawi down up tbc
Malaysia up up uh oh
Maldives down up no
Mali up up maybe
Malta down down yes
Marshall Islands down down tbc
Mauritania up up maybe
Mauritius down down tbc
Mexico up up uh oh
Moldova up up no
Monaco down down tbc
Mongolia down down tbc
Montenegro down up maybe
Montserrat up down tbc
Morocco down down yes
Mozambique up up maybe
Myanmar down down yes
Namibia up up maybe
Nepal down down yes
Netherlands up up uh oh
New Caledonia down down tbc
New Zealand down down tbc
Nicaragua down down tbc
Niger up down yes
Nigeria up up no
North Macedonia down down yes
Northern Mariana Islands down down tbc
Norway down up no
Oman down down yes
Pakistan down up maybe
Palestine down up no
Panama up up maybe
Papua New Guinea up up tbc
Paraguay up down yes
Peru down up maybe
Philippines down down yes
Poland down down uh oh
Portugal up up uh oh
Puerto Rico up down yes
Qatar down down yes
Romania up down yes
Russia up up no
Rwanda up up uh oh
Saint Kitts and Nevis down down tbc
Saint Lucia down up tbc
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines up down tbc
San Marino down up uh oh
Sao Tome and Principe down down tbc
Saudi Arabia down down yes
Senegal up up no
Serbia down down yes
Seychelles up down tbc
Sierra Leone down up tbc
Singapore down down tbc
Sint Maarten up down yes
Slovakia up down maybe
Slovenia up down maybe
Solomon Islands down down tbc
Somalia down down tbc
South Africa up up maybe
South Korea up up maybe
South Sudan down down tbc
Spain down down yes
Sri Lanka up down yes
Sudan up up no
Suriname up down tbc
Sweden down down yes
Switzerland down down yes
Syria up up uh oh
Taiwan down down tbc
Tajikistan up down yes
Thailand up down maybe
Timor Leste down down tbc
Togo up up uh oh
Trinidad and Tobago up down maybe
Tunisia up down maybe
Turkey down down yes
Turks and Caicos islands down down tbc
Uganda up up maybe
Ukraine down up uh oh
United Arab Emirates down up no
United Kingdom up down maybe
United Republic of Tanzania up down tbc
United States of America up up no
United States Virgin Islands up down maybe
Uruguay up up maybe
Uzbekistan down down yes
Vanuatu down down tbc
Venezuela down up maybe
Vietnam up up tbc
Wallis and Futuna down down tbc
Western Sahara down down tbc
Yemen up down tbc
Zambia up down yes
Zimbabwe down down yes


  1. yes The rate of deaths/day is falling and cases are decelerating.
  2. maybe There are signs of a fall in deaths/day.
  3. no The rate of deaths/day is rising.
  4. uh oh There is an acceleration in daily deaths and cases.
  5. tbc Not enough data (<50 cases total).

Global Status maybe

There are signs of a deceleration in daily cases and daily deaths.

Figure WORLD-1. The daily change in the rate of new cases of Coronavirus. Negative values indicate the number of cases per day is decreasing. When the line crosses zero, the number of cases has plateaued. There are signs of an deceleration in daily cases.

Figure WORLD-2. The daily change in the rate of deaths from Coronavirus. Negative values indicate the number of deaths per day is decreasing. When the line crosses zero, the number of deaths has plateaued. There are signs of an deceleration in daily deaths.

Data is sourced from the European Centre for Disease Control daily report data on the geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases worldwide . Updated daily at 12:00 UTC.

Daily cases and deaths for each country are smoothed using a 7-day window function. Change in the daily rate is calculated using a 7-day rolling difference. Values above zero indicate the daily number of cases or deaths is increasing, while those below zero indicate that the number of cases or deaths is decreasing. Status for each country determined from a combination of case and death data. See the source code for details.

Data analysis & design ©2020 Martin Fitzpatrick PhD