Is COVID-19 getting better yet?

Data is sourced from Our World in Data. Last updated Saturday 15 January.

Current status by country

Country ⇵ Cases ⇵ Deaths ⇵ Is it getting better? ⇵
Afghanistan up up maybe
Albania up up uh oh
Algeria up up no
Andorra up up maybe
Angola up up maybe
Anguilla up up maybe
Antigua and Barbuda up up maybe
Argentina up up no
Armenia up up maybe
Aruba up up no
Australia up up uh oh
Austria up up maybe
Azerbaijan up up maybe
Bahamas up up no
Bahrain up up maybe
Bangladesh up up uh oh
Barbados up up maybe
Belarus up up maybe
Belgium up up maybe
Belize up up maybe
Benin up up uh oh
Bermuda up down yes
Bhutan up down yes
Bolivia up up maybe
Bonaire Sint Eustatius and Saba up up no
Bosnia and Herzegovina up up maybe
Botswana up up maybe
Brazil up up uh oh
British Virgin Islands up up uh oh
Brunei up down maybe
Bulgaria up up maybe
Burkina Faso up up maybe
Burundi up up no
Cambodia up up maybe
Cameroon up up maybe
Canada up up no
Cape Verde up up maybe
Cayman Islands up up no
Central African Republic up up uh oh
Chad up up maybe
Chile up up maybe
China up down yes
Colombia up up uh oh
Comoros up up maybe
Congo up up maybe
Cook Islands down down tbc
Costa Rica up up uh oh
Cote d'Ivoire up up maybe
Croatia up up maybe
Cuba up up maybe
Curacao up up no
Cyprus up up maybe
Czechia up up maybe
Democratic Republic of Congo up up maybe
Denmark up up maybe
Djibouti up down maybe
Dominica up up no
Dominican Republic up up no
Ecuador up up uh oh
Egypt up up maybe
El Salvador up up uh oh
Equatorial Guinea up up maybe
Eritrea up up maybe
Estonia up up maybe
Eswatini up up maybe
Ethiopia up up no
Faeroe Islands up up maybe
Falkland Islands up down yes
Fiji up up no
Finland up up maybe
France up up maybe
French Polynesia up down maybe
Gabon up up maybe
Gambia up up no
Georgia up up maybe
Germany up up maybe
Ghana up up maybe
Gibraltar up down yes
Greece up up maybe
Greenland up up no
Grenada up up uh oh
Guatemala up up uh oh
Guernsey down down tbc
Guinea up up maybe
Guinea-Bissau up up uh oh
Guyana up up maybe
Haiti up up maybe
Honduras up up maybe
Hong Kong up down yes
Hungary up up maybe
Iceland up up no
India up up maybe
Indonesia up up maybe
Iran up up maybe
Iraq up up maybe
Ireland up up no
Isle of Man up up no
Israel up up uh oh
Italy up up no
Jamaica up up maybe
Japan up up uh oh
Jersey down down tbc
Jordan up up maybe
Kazakhstan up up maybe
Kenya up up maybe
Kiribati down down tbc
Kuwait up up uh oh
Kyrgyzstan up up maybe
Laos up up maybe
Latvia up up maybe
Lebanon up up maybe
Lesotho up up maybe
Liberia up down yes
Libya up up maybe
Liechtenstein up up maybe
Lithuania up up maybe
Luxembourg up up maybe
Macao down down yes
Madagascar up up maybe
Malawi up up maybe
Malaysia up up maybe
Maldives up up maybe
Mali up up no
Malta up up no
Marshall Islands down down tbc
Mauritania up up maybe
Mauritius up down yes
Mexico up up maybe
Micronesia (country) down down tbc
Moldova up up maybe
Monaco up up maybe
Mongolia up up maybe
Montenegro up up maybe
Montserrat up down yes
Morocco up up maybe
Mozambique up up maybe
Myanmar up up maybe
Namibia up up no
Nauru down down tbc
Nepal up up uh oh
Netherlands up up maybe
New Caledonia up down maybe
New Zealand up up no
Nicaragua up up maybe
Niger up up no
Nigeria up up maybe
Niue down down tbc
North Macedonia up up maybe
Norway up up maybe
Oman up up maybe
Pakistan up up uh oh
Palau down down tbc
Palestine up up maybe
Panama up up uh oh
Papua New Guinea up up no
Paraguay up up maybe
Peru up up maybe
Philippines up up uh oh
Pitcairn down down tbc
Poland up up maybe
Portugal up up no
Qatar up up uh oh
Romania up up maybe
Russia up up maybe
Rwanda up up maybe
Saint Helena down down tbc
Saint Kitts and Nevis up down yes
Saint Lucia up up uh oh
Saint Pierre and Miquelon up down maybe
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines up up maybe
Samoa down down tbc
San Marino up up maybe
Sao Tome and Principe up up maybe
Saudi Arabia up up maybe
Senegal up up no
Serbia up up maybe
Seychelles up up uh oh
Sierra Leone up up maybe
Singapore up up maybe
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) down down tbc
Slovakia up up maybe
Slovenia up up maybe
Solomon Islands down down yes
Somalia up up maybe
South Africa up up maybe
South Korea up up maybe
South Sudan up up maybe
Spain up up no
Sri Lanka up up maybe
Sudan up up uh oh
Suriname up up no
Sweden up up uh oh
Switzerland up up maybe
Syria up up maybe
Taiwan up up uh oh
Tajikistan down down yes
Tanzania up up maybe
Thailand up up maybe
Timor up down yes
Togo up up no
Tokelau down down tbc
Tonga down down tbc
Trinidad and Tobago up up maybe
Tunisia up up uh oh
Turkey up up maybe
Turkmenistan down down tbc
Turks and Caicos Islands up up uh oh
Tuvalu down down tbc
Uganda up up no
Ukraine up up maybe
United Arab Emirates up up no
United Kingdom up up no
United States up up maybe
Uruguay up up uh oh
Uzbekistan up up uh oh
Vanuatu down down tbc
Vatican down down yes
Venezuela up up uh oh
Vietnam up up maybe
Wallis and Futuna down down yes
Yemen up up maybe
Zambia up up maybe
Zimbabwe up up maybe

Key

  1. yes The rate of deaths/day is falling and cases are decelerating.
  2. maybe There are signs of a fall in deaths/day.
  3. no The rate of deaths/day is rising.
  4. uh oh There is an acceleration in daily deaths and cases.
  5. tbc Not enough data (<50 cases total).

Global Status maybe

There are signs of a deceleration in daily cases and daily deaths.

Figure WORLD-1. The daily change in the rate of new cases of Coronavirus. Negative values indicate the number of cases per day is decreasing. When the line crosses zero, the number of cases has plateaued. There are signs of an deceleration in daily cases.

Figure WORLD-2. The daily change in the rate of deaths from Coronavirus. Negative values indicate the number of deaths per day is decreasing. When the line crosses zero, the number of deaths has plateaued. There are signs of an deceleration in daily deaths.

Data is sourced from Our World in Data daily report data on the geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases worldwide . Updated daily at 12:00 UTC.

Daily cases and deaths for each country are smoothed using a 7-day window function. Change in the daily rate is calculated using a 7-day rolling difference. Values above zero indicate the daily number of cases or deaths is increasing, while those below zero indicate that the number of cases or deaths is decreasing. Status for each country determined from a combination of case and death data. See the source code for details.

Data analysis & design ©2020 Martin Fitzpatrick PhD