Is COVID-19 getting better yet?

Data is sourced from Our World in Data. Last updated Tuesday 30 November.

Current status by country

Country ⇵ Cases ⇵ Deaths ⇵ Is it getting better? ⇵
Afghanistan up up maybe
Albania up up maybe
Algeria up up maybe
Andorra up up maybe
Angola up up maybe
Anguilla down down tbc
Antigua and Barbuda up up maybe
Argentina up up maybe
Armenia up up maybe
Aruba down down tbc
Australia up up maybe
Austria up up maybe
Azerbaijan up up maybe
Bahamas up up maybe
Bahrain up up maybe
Bangladesh up up maybe
Barbados up up maybe
Belarus up up maybe
Belgium up up maybe
Belize up up maybe
Benin up down yes
Bermuda down down tbc
Bhutan up down maybe
Bolivia up up maybe
Bonaire Sint Eustatius and Saba down down tbc
Bosnia and Herzegovina up up maybe
Botswana up up no
Brazil up up maybe
British Virgin Islands down down tbc
Brunei up up maybe
Bulgaria up up maybe
Burkina Faso up up uh oh
Burundi up up no
Cambodia up up maybe
Cameroon up up maybe
Canada up up maybe
Cape Verde up down yes
Cayman Islands down down tbc
Central African Republic up down yes
Chad down down yes
Chile up up maybe
China up down maybe
Colombia up up maybe
Comoros up up maybe
Congo up up maybe
Cook Islands down down tbc
Costa Rica up up maybe
Cote d'Ivoire up up maybe
Croatia up up maybe
Cuba up up maybe
Curacao down down tbc
Cyprus up up no
Czechia up up maybe
Democratic Republic of Congo up up maybe
Denmark up up no
Djibouti up down yes
Dominica up up uh oh
Dominican Republic up up maybe
Ecuador up up no
Egypt up up maybe
El Salvador up up maybe
Equatorial Guinea up up no
Eritrea up up maybe
Estonia up up maybe
Eswatini up up maybe
Ethiopia up up maybe
Faeroe Islands down down tbc
Falkland Islands down down tbc
Fiji up up maybe
Finland up up maybe
France up up maybe
French Polynesia down down tbc
Gabon up up maybe
Gambia up up maybe
Georgia up up maybe
Germany up up maybe
Ghana up up maybe
Gibraltar down down tbc
Greece up up maybe
Greenland down down tbc
Grenada up down yes
Guatemala up up maybe
Guernsey down down tbc
Guinea up down yes
Guinea-Bissau up up no
Guyana up up maybe
Haiti up up no
Honduras up up maybe
Hong Kong up down yes
Hungary up up maybe
Iceland up up maybe
India up up maybe
Indonesia up up maybe
Iran up up maybe
Iraq up up maybe
Ireland up up maybe
Isle of Man down down tbc
Israel up up maybe
Italy up up maybe
Jamaica up up maybe
Japan up up maybe
Jersey down down tbc
Jordan up up no
Kazakhstan up up maybe
Kenya up up maybe
Kiribati down down tbc
Kuwait up up maybe
Kyrgyzstan up up maybe
Laos up up maybe
Latvia up up maybe
Lebanon up up maybe
Lesotho up up maybe
Liberia up down maybe
Libya up up maybe
Liechtenstein up down yes
Lithuania up up maybe
Luxembourg up up no
Macao down down tbc
Madagascar up up maybe
Malawi up up maybe
Malaysia up up maybe
Maldives up up no
Mali up up maybe
Malta up up no
Marshall Islands down down tbc
Mauritania up up maybe
Mauritius up down maybe
Mexico up up maybe
Micronesia (country) down down tbc
Moldova up up maybe
Monaco up down yes
Mongolia up up maybe
Montenegro up up maybe
Montserrat down down tbc
Morocco up up maybe
Mozambique up up maybe
Myanmar up up maybe
Namibia up up maybe
Nauru down down tbc
Nepal up up maybe
Netherlands up up maybe
New Caledonia down down tbc
New Zealand up up maybe
Nicaragua up up maybe
Niger up up maybe
Nigeria up up maybe
Niue down down tbc
North Macedonia up up maybe
Norway up up maybe
Oman up down yes
Pakistan up up maybe
Palau down down tbc
Palestine up up maybe
Panama up up maybe
Papua New Guinea up up maybe
Paraguay up up uh oh
Peru up up maybe
Philippines up up maybe
Pitcairn down down tbc
Poland up up maybe
Portugal up up maybe
Qatar up down yes
Romania up up maybe
Russia up up maybe
Rwanda up up maybe
Saint Helena down down tbc
Saint Kitts and Nevis up up maybe
Saint Lucia up up maybe
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines up up maybe
Samoa down down tbc
San Marino up up maybe
Sao Tome and Principe down down yes
Saudi Arabia up up maybe
Senegal up up maybe
Serbia up up maybe
Seychelles up up maybe
Sierra Leone up up uh oh
Singapore up up maybe
Sint Maarten (Dutch part) down down tbc
Slovakia up up maybe
Slovenia up up maybe
Solomon Islands down down yes
Somalia up up maybe
South Africa up up maybe
South Korea up up no
South Sudan up down yes
Spain up up maybe
Sri Lanka up up maybe
Sudan up up uh oh
Suriname up up maybe
Sweden up up maybe
Switzerland up up maybe
Syria up up maybe
Taiwan up down maybe
Tajikistan up down yes
Tanzania up up maybe
Thailand up up maybe
Timor up down yes
Togo up down yes
Tokelau down down tbc
Tonga down down tbc
Trinidad and Tobago up up maybe
Tunisia up up maybe
Turkey up up maybe
Turkmenistan down down tbc
Turks and Caicos Islands down down tbc
Tuvalu down down tbc
Uganda up down yes
Ukraine up up maybe
United Arab Emirates up up no
United Kingdom up up maybe
United States up up maybe
Uruguay up up maybe
Uzbekistan up up maybe
Vanuatu down down tbc
Vatican down down yes
Venezuela up up maybe
Vietnam up up maybe
Wallis and Futuna down down tbc
Yemen up up maybe
Zambia up up maybe
Zimbabwe up up uh oh

Key

  1. yes The rate of deaths/day is falling and cases are decelerating.
  2. maybe There are signs of a fall in deaths/day.
  3. no The rate of deaths/day is rising.
  4. uh oh There is an acceleration in daily deaths and cases.
  5. tbc Not enough data (<50 cases total).

Global Status maybe

There are signs of a deceleration in daily cases and daily deaths.

Figure WORLD-1. The daily change in the rate of new cases of Coronavirus. Negative values indicate the number of cases per day is decreasing. When the line crosses zero, the number of cases has plateaued. There are signs of an deceleration in daily cases.

Figure WORLD-2. The daily change in the rate of deaths from Coronavirus. Negative values indicate the number of deaths per day is decreasing. When the line crosses zero, the number of deaths has plateaued. There are signs of an deceleration in daily deaths.

Data is sourced from Our World in Data daily report data on the geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases worldwide . Updated daily at 12:00 UTC.

Daily cases and deaths for each country are smoothed using a 7-day window function. Change in the daily rate is calculated using a 7-day rolling difference. Values above zero indicate the daily number of cases or deaths is increasing, while those below zero indicate that the number of cases or deaths is decreasing. Status for each country determined from a combination of case and death data. See the source code for details.

Data analysis & design ©2020 Martin Fitzpatrick PhD