Is COVID-19 getting better yet?

Data sourced from the European Centre for Disease Control. Last updated Tuesday 4 August.

Current status by country

Country ⇵ Cases ⇵ Deaths ⇵ Is it getting better? ⇵
Afghanistan down down yes
Albania up up maybe
Algeria down down yes
Andorra down down tbc
Angola up up maybe
Anguilla down down tbc
Antigua and Barbuda down down tbc
Argentina up up maybe
Armenia down down yes
Aruba up down tbc
Australia up up maybe
Austria down up maybe
Azerbaijan down down yes
Bahamas up up maybe
Bahrain down down yes
Bangladesh down down yes
Barbados up down tbc
Belarus down down yes
Belgium down down yes
Belize up down tbc
Benin down down tbc
Bermuda down down tbc
Bhutan down down tbc
Bolivia up up uh oh
Bonaire, Saint Eustatius and Saba up down tbc
Bosnia and Herzegovina up up maybe
Botswana down down yes
Brazil down down yes
British Virgin Islands up down tbc
Brunei Darussalam down down tbc
Bulgaria down down yes
Burkina Faso down up tbc
Burundi down down tbc
Cambodia down down tbc
Cameroon down down yes
Canada down down yes
Cape Verde up up uh oh
Cayman Islands up down tbc
Central African Republic down down tbc
Chad down up tbc
Chile down down yes
China up up no
Colombia up up maybe
Comoros down down tbc
Congo up up maybe
Costa Rica down up maybe
Cote dIvoire down up maybe
Croatia down down yes
Cuba up up no
Curaçao down down tbc
Cyprus up down maybe
Czechia down up maybe
Democratic Republic of the Congo down down yes
Denmark up up maybe
Djibouti up down uh oh
Dominica up down tbc
Dominican Republic down down yes
Ecuador down up maybe
Egypt down down yes
El Salvador up up no
Equatorial Guinea up up uh oh
Eritrea down down tbc
Estonia up down tbc
Eswatini down down yes
Ethiopia up up no
Falkland Islands (Malvinas) down down tbc
Faroe Islands down down tbc
Fiji up up tbc
Finland up down maybe
France up up maybe
French Polynesia down down tbc
Gabon down down yes
Gambia up down yes
Georgia down up tbc
Germany up down no
Ghana down up no
Gibraltar down down tbc
Greece up up uh oh
Greenland down down tbc
Grenada down down tbc
Guam up down tbc
Guatemala down up maybe
Guernsey down down tbc
Guinea down down yes
Guinea Bissau down up tbc
Guyana up up uh oh
Haiti down up no
Holy See up down tbc
Honduras down down yes
Hungary down up no
Iceland up down maybe
India up up no
Indonesia up down yes
Iran up down maybe
Iraq up down yes
Ireland up down maybe
Isle of Man down down tbc
Israel down up no
Italy up down no
Jamaica up up tbc
Japan up up uh oh
Jersey up down tbc
Jordan down up tbc
Kazakhstan down up no
Kenya up up uh oh
Kosovo up up no
Kuwait down down yes
Kyrgyzstan down down yes
Laos down down tbc
Latvia up up tbc
Lebanon up up maybe
Lesotho up up maybe
Liberia down up tbc
Libya up up uh oh
Liechtenstein down down tbc
Lithuania up down no
Luxembourg down up no
Madagascar down down yes
Malawi up down yes
Malaysia down up maybe
Maldives up up no
Mali down down tbc
Malta up down yes
Mauritania down down yes
Mauritius down down tbc
Mexico up down maybe
Moldova up up uh oh
Monaco down up tbc
Mongolia down down tbc
Montenegro down down yes
Montserrat down down tbc
Morocco up up no
Mozambique up up no
Myanmar down up tbc
Namibia up up uh oh
Nepal up up maybe
Netherlands up down maybe
New Caledonia down down tbc
New Zealand up down tbc
Nicaragua down down yes
Niger up down tbc
Nigeria down down yes
North Macedonia down down yes
Northern Mariana Islands up down tbc
Norway up up uh oh
Oman down down yes
Pakistan down down yes
Palestine down down yes
Panama up down yes
Papua New Guinea up up tbc
Paraguay up up no
Peru up down yes
Philippines up up uh oh
Poland up up maybe
Portugal down down yes
Puerto Rico up up maybe
Qatar down up no
Romania up up no
Russia down down yes
Rwanda down down yes
Saint Kitts and Nevis up down tbc
Saint Lucia down down tbc
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines up down tbc
San Marino up up tbc
Sao Tome and Principe down up tbc
Saudi Arabia down down yes
Senegal down down yes
Serbia down down yes
Seychelles up down tbc
Sierra Leone down up maybe
Singapore down up no
Sint Maarten down up tbc
Slovakia down up no
Slovenia down down yes
Somalia down up tbc
South Africa down down yes
South Korea down down yes
South Sudan up down maybe
Spain up up no
Sri Lanka down down tbc
Sudan down up no
Suriname up down yes
Sweden up down maybe
Switzerland up down yes
Syria up down maybe
Taiwan down down tbc
Tajikistan down down yes
Thailand down down tbc
Timor Leste up down tbc
Togo up down yes
Trinidad and Tobago down up tbc
Tunisia up up no
Turkey up up uh oh
Turks and Caicos islands up down tbc
Uganda up up no
Ukraine up up maybe
United Arab Emirates down down yes
United Kingdom up down maybe
United Republic of Tanzania up up tbc
United States of America down up maybe
United States Virgin Islands up down maybe
Uruguay down down yes
Uzbekistan up up maybe
Venezuela up up maybe
Vietnam up up uh oh
Western Sahara down down tbc
Yemen down down tbc
Zambia up up no
Zimbabwe up up maybe


  1. yes The rate of deaths/day is falling and cases are decelerating.
  2. maybe There are signs of a fall in deaths/day.
  3. no The rate of deaths/day is rising.
  4. uh oh There is an acceleration in daily deaths and cases.
  5. tbc Not enough data (<50 cases total).

Global Status yes

The number of daily cases and the number of daily deaths is decreasing.

Figure WORLD-1. The daily change in the rate of new cases of Coronavirus. Negative values indicate the number of cases per day is decreasing. When the line crosses zero, the number of cases has plateaued. The number of daily cases is falling.

Figure WORLD-2. The daily change in the rate of deaths from Coronavirus. Negative values indicate the number of deaths per day is decreasing. When the line crosses zero, the number of deaths has plateaued. The number of daily deaths is falling.

Data is sourced from the European Centre for Disease Control daily report data on the geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases worldwide . Updated daily at 12:00 UTC.

Daily cases and deaths for each country are smoothed using a 7-day window function. Change in the daily rate is calculated using a 7-day rolling difference. Values above zero indicate the daily number of cases or deaths is increasing, while those below zero indicate that the number of cases or deaths is decreasing. Status for each country determined from a combination of case and death data. See the source code for details.

Data analysis & design ©2020 Martin Fitzpatrick PhD