Is COVID-19 getting better yet?

Data sourced from the European Centre for Disease Control. Last updated Thursday 4 June.

Current status by country

Country ⇵ Cases ⇵ Deaths ⇵ Is it getting better? ⇵
Afghanistan up up no
Albania up down yes
Algeria down down yes
Andorra up down maybe
Angola down down tbc
Anguilla down down tbc
Antigua and Barbuda up down tbc
Argentina up down maybe
Armenia up up maybe
Aruba up down tbc
Australia up down yes
Austria down down yes
Azerbaijan up up uh oh
Bahamas down up tbc
Bahrain up up maybe
Bangladesh up up uh oh
Barbados down down tbc
Belarus down up maybe
Belgium down down yes
Belize up down tbc
Benin down down tbc
Bermuda down down tbc
Bhutan down down tbc
Bolivia up up no
Bonaire, Saint Eustatius and Saba down down tbc
Bosnia and Herzegovina up down yes
Botswana up down tbc
Brazil up down yes
British Virgin Islands down down tbc
Brunei Darussalam down down tbc
Bulgaria down down maybe
Burkina Faso up down tbc
Burundi up down tbc
Cambodia down down tbc
Cameroon up down maybe
Canada down up maybe
Cape Verde up up uh oh
Cayman Islands down down tbc
Central African Republic up up no
Chad down down yes
Chile up up no
China down up tbc
Colombia up up no
Comoros up down tbc
Congo down down tbc
Costa Rica up down maybe
Cote dIvoire up down yes
Croatia down down tbc
Cuba up down yes
Curaçao down down tbc
Cyprus up down tbc
Czechia down down yes
Democratic Republic of the Congo up up uh oh
Denmark down up no
Djibouti up down maybe
Dominica up down tbc
Dominican Republic down up maybe
Ecuador up down maybe
Egypt up up no
El Salvador down up maybe
Equatorial Guinea up down yes
Eritrea up down tbc
Estonia down up tbc
Eswatini down up tbc
Ethiopia up up no
Falkland Islands (Malvinas) down down tbc
Faroe Islands up down tbc
Fiji down down tbc
Finland down up maybe
France up down yes
French Polynesia down down tbc
Gabon down up maybe
Gambia up down tbc
Georgia up up uh oh
Germany down down yes
Ghana up up no
Gibraltar down down tbc
Greece down down tbc
Greenland down down tbc
Grenada down down tbc
Guam up down tbc
Guatemala down up maybe
Guernsey down down tbc
Guinea down down yes
Guinea Bissau up down yes
Guyana down down tbc
Haiti up up maybe
Holy See up down tbc
Honduras down up no
Hungary down down yes
Iceland down down tbc
India up up maybe
Indonesia down up maybe
Iran up up uh oh
Iraq up up uh oh
Ireland down down yes
Isle of Man down down tbc
Israel up up uh oh
Italy down down yes
Jamaica down up tbc
Japan up down yes
Jersey down up tbc
Jordan up down tbc
Kazakhstan up up no
Kenya up up maybe
Kosovo up down maybe
Kuwait up down yes
Kyrgyzstan up up no
Laos up down tbc
Latvia down down tbc
Lebanon down up no
Lesotho down down tbc
Liberia up down tbc
Libya up down yes
Liechtenstein down down tbc
Lithuania down down tbc
Luxembourg down down tbc
Madagascar up up maybe
Malawi up down yes
Malaysia down down yes
Maldives up up no
Mali up down yes
Malta down up tbc
Mauritania up up maybe
Mauritius down down tbc
Mexico up up no
Moldova up down yes
Monaco down down tbc
Mongolia down down tbc
Montenegro up down tbc
Montserrat up down tbc
Morocco down down yes
Mozambique up down maybe
Myanmar down up tbc
Namibia down down tbc
Nepal up up maybe
Netherlands down down yes
New Caledonia down down tbc
New Zealand up down tbc
Nicaragua down down yes
Niger down down tbc
Nigeria up up no
North Macedonia up up maybe
Northern Mariana Islands up down tbc
Norway down down yes
Oman up up uh oh
Pakistan up up uh oh
Palestine down down tbc
Panama up down no
Papua New Guinea down down tbc
Paraguay up down maybe
Peru up down yes
Philippines up down yes
Poland down down yes
Portugal up down yes
Puerto Rico up up no
Qatar up up maybe
Romania down down yes
Russia up up maybe
Rwanda up up tbc
Saint Kitts and Nevis up down tbc
Saint Lucia down down tbc
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines down down tbc
San Marino up down tbc
Sao Tome and Principe down down tbc
Saudi Arabia down up no
Senegal up down maybe
Serbia down down yes
Seychelles up down tbc
Sierra Leone down down yes
Singapore up up uh oh
Sint Maarten up down tbc
Slovakia down down tbc
Slovenia down down tbc
Somalia up up maybe
South Africa up up maybe
South Korea up down no
South Sudan down down yes
Spain down up no
Sri Lanka down up no
Sudan down up maybe
Suriname up down maybe
Sweden up down maybe
Switzerland down down yes
Syria down up tbc
Taiwan down down tbc
Tajikistan down down yes
Thailand down up tbc
Timor Leste up down tbc
Togo down down tbc
Trinidad and Tobago down up tbc
Tunisia down down tbc
Turkey down down yes
Turks and Caicos islands down down tbc
Uganda up down yes
Ukraine up down maybe
United Arab Emirates down down yes
United Kingdom down up no
United Republic of Tanzania up up tbc
United States of America down down yes
United States Virgin Islands up down tbc
Uruguay down down tbc
Uzbekistan up up uh oh
Venezuela up up uh oh
Vietnam down down tbc
Western Sahara down up tbc
Yemen up up maybe
Zambia down up no
Zimbabwe up down yes


  1. yes The rate of deaths/day is falling and cases are decelerating.
  2. maybe There are signs of a fall in deaths/day.
  3. no The rate of deaths/day is rising.
  4. uh oh There is an acceleration in daily deaths and cases.
  5. tbc Not enough data (<50 cases total).

Global Status no

There are signs of a deceleration in daily cases. However, daily deaths are increasing.

Figure WORLD-1. The daily change in the rate of new cases of Coronavirus. Negative values indicate the number of cases per day is decreasing. When the line crosses zero, the number of cases has plateaued. There are signs of an deceleration in daily cases.

Figure WORLD-2. The daily change in the rate of deaths from Coronavirus. Negative values indicate the number of deaths per day is decreasing. When the line crosses zero, the number of deaths has plateaued. The number of daily deaths is increasing day by day.

Data is sourced from the European Centre for Disease Control daily report data on the geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases worldwide . Updated daily at 12:00 UTC.

Daily cases and deaths for each country are smoothed using a 7-day window function. Change in the daily rate is calculated using a 7-day rolling difference. Values above zero indicate the daily number of cases or deaths is increasing, while those below zero indicate that the number of cases or deaths is decreasing. Status for each country determined from a combination of case and death data. See the source code for details.

Data analysis & design ©2020 Martin Fitzpatrick PhD